Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Elland Road
  • Sam Byram 9' goal
  • Junior Firpo 27' yellowcard
  • Crysencio Summerville 88' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 89' yellowcard
  • Daniel James 90'+7' goal
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 34'
  • yellowcard Ozan Tufan 54'
  • yellowcard Jean Michael Seri 70'

Leeds United vs Hull City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 8.00pm
Watford 2 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Hull City 0 - 2 Stoke
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Jaden Philogene-Bidace

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 13.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 66.49% (-0.12)
Draw 19.69% (+0.11)
Hull City 13.81% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.38% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.81% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 44.18% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 33.44% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 66.56% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 17.11% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 82.89% (+0.32)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 87.61% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 12.39% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 61.74% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 38.26% (+0.35)

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5 56.37% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 43.63% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 20.18% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 79.82% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Leeds United 66.48%
Draw 19.69%
Hull City 13.81%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 11.78% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 11.28% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.21% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.81% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 66.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.36% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.41% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.69%
Hull City
0-1 @ 4.48% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 3.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 13.81%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Liam Rosenior 0' yellowcard
  • Scott Twine 54' yellowcard
  • Aaron Connolly 69' yellowcard
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rodon 43'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 52'
  • redcard Joe Rodon 60'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 90'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 90'+1'
EFL Cup
Sep 16, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET Elland Road
  • Ezgjan Alioski 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 90'+3' goal
  • goal Mallik Wilks 5'
  • yellowcard James Scott 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 36
Feb 29, 2020 12.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Sean McLoughlin 50' yellowcard
  • Josh Magennis 52' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Ayling 5'
  • goal Pablo Hernandez 47'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bamford 50'
  • goal Tyler Roberts 81'
  • goal Tyler Roberts 84'
Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kalvin Phillips 61' yellowcard
  • Jordy de Wijs 73' goal
  • Ben White 79' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 82' goal
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 94'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2018 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
  • Adam Forshaw 48' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 61' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 25'
  • yellowcard Todd Kane 47'
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 58'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 74'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT KCOM Stadium (Hull)
  • Markus Henriksen 79' yellowcard
  • goal Tyler Roberts 51'
  • yellowcard Samuel Saiz 57'
  • yellowcard Barry Douglas 70'
  • yellowcard Pontus Jansson 80'