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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Leicester

Roberts (80'), Faes (83' og.), Bamford (90+4')
Rodon (45+3'), Ampadu (52'), Kamara (75'), Roberts (87'), Meslier (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Faes (15')
Pereira (19'), Vestergaard (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Leicester City

Like in the reverse fixture, any result feels possible, particularly an away one with the pressure off to a certain extent. Nevertheless, Leeds look unbeatable at present, and we are backing the Yorkshire giants to run out victors in a high-quality tussle at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
48.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.59% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.07% (-0.052 -0.05)37.93% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)60.18% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.012 -0.01)15.87% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)45.09% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)25.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)60.48% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 48.75%
    Leicester City 28.51%
    Draw 22.73%
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 48.75%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.51%

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
59.0%
Draw
19.4%
Leicester City
21.6%
222
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Leicester
0-1
Leeds

Choudhury (89')
Rutter (58')
Byram (26'), Farke (27'), Summerville (88')
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Vardy (80')
Oct 20, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Leicester
2-0
Leeds
Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
rhs 2.0
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