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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
3 - 1
Leicester

Roberts (80'), Faes (83' og.), Bamford (90+4')
Rodon (45+3'), Ampadu (52'), Kamara (75'), Roberts (87'), Meslier (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Faes (15')
Pereira (19'), Vestergaard (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Leicester City

Like in the reverse fixture, any result feels possible, particularly an away one with the pressure off to a certain extent. Nevertheless, Leeds look unbeatable at present, and we are backing the Yorkshire giants to run out victors in a high-quality tussle at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
48.75% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.59% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.07% (-0.052 -0.05)37.93% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.81% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)60.18% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.012 -0.01)15.87% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)45.09% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)25.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)60.48% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 48.75%
    Leicester City 28.51%
    Draw 22.73%
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75%
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 48.75%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77%
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.51%

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
59.0%
Draw
19.4%
Leicester City
21.6%
222
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Leicester
0-1
Leeds

Choudhury (89')
Rutter (58')
Byram (26'), Farke (27'), Summerville (88')
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Vardy (80')
Oct 20, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Leicester
2-0
Leeds
Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester432941081394291
2Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton43259985562984
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City431812136254866
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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