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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Leeds logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Leeds


Dickie (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gnonto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Leeds United

Despite their recent poor form, Bristol City have proven this season that they can match the bigger teams at Ashton Gate. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors may prove too difficult to stop, the end result potentially being a late win for Farke's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
29.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 23.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 46.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.07% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (0.028999999999996 0.03)65.3% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.027999999999992 0.03)27.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.036000000000001 0.04)62.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)18.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)50% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.63%
    Leeds United 46.43%
    Draw 23.94%
Bristol CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.63%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 46.43%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Leeds

Bristol City
16.2%
Draw
9.4%
Leeds United
74.4%
117
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leeds
2-1
Bristol City
James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')
Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol City
1-3
Leeds
Weimann (79')
Pack (47'), Palmer (55'), Taylor (88')
Hernandez (26'), Bamford (57'), Harrison (72')
Forshaw (48'), Hernandez (54')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
0-1
Leeds

Semenyo (34'), Wright (61'), Diedhiou (81'), Webster (87')
Bamford (9')
Cooper (19'), Ayling (80'), Alioski (88'), Douglas (90')
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
2-0
Bristol City
Roofe (69'), Hernandez (86')
Alioski (27')

Brownhill (20')
Brownhill (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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