Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 2, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Robert Dickie 63' yellowcard
  • goal Willy Gnonto 47'

Bristol City vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Coventry 2 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Leeds 1 - 0 Norwich
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Bristol City 29.63% (+0.03)
Draw 23.94% (-0.01)
Leeds United 46.43% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.07% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.1% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 42.9% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.7% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 65.3% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 18.04% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.96% (-0.02)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 72.63% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 27.37% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.17% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.83% (-0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 81.33% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.67% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 50% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bristol City 29.63%
Draw 23.94%
Leeds United 46.43%
Bristol City
2-1 @ 7.2% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.94%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 9.32% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 46.43%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Elland Road
  • Daniel James 37' goal
  • Joel Piroe 53' goal
  • Joe Rodon 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 6'
  • yellowcard Taylor Gardner-Hickman 45'+3'
  • goal Kal Naismith 45'+4'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
  • Luke Ayling 16' goal
  • Stuart Dallas 55' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum O'Dowda 58'
  • yellowcard Tomas Kalas 81'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marlon Pack 47' yellowcard
  • Kasey Palmer 55' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 79' goal
  • Matty Taylor 88' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Hernandez 26'
  • yellowcard Adam Forshaw 48'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 54'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 57'
  • goal Jack Harrison 72'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)
  • Antoine Semenyo 34' yellowcard
  • Bailey Wright 61' yellowcard
  • Famara Diedhiou 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Webster 87' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Bamford 9'
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 19'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 80'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 88'
  • yellowcard Barry Douglas 90'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 24, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
  • Ezgjan Alioski 27' yellowcard
  • Kemar Roofe 69' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 86' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 20'
  • redcard Josh Brownhill 55'
Championship
Feb 18, 2018 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Matthew Pennington 44' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Michel Lasogga 72' goal
  • Kalvin Phillips 75' yellowcard
  • Kemar Roofe 80' goal
  • goal Famara Diedhiou 11'
  • goal Bobby Reid 16'
  • yellowcard Bailey Wright 55'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 79'
  • yellowcard Marlon Pack 86'