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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
| 50.56% ( | 25.24% ( | 24.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% ( | 52.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% ( | 74% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( | 20.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( | 53.29% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( | 36.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.66% ( | 73.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 3-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 50.56% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 2-2 @ 4.75% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 24.2% |