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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Watford logo

Blackburn
1 - 2
Watford

Wharton (3')
Garrett (36'), Moran (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rajovic (83'), Healey (87')
Hoedt (65'), Rajovic (81'), Andrews (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
42.67% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)25.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)31.99% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.49% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.029999999999994 0.03)48.13% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.028000000000002 0.03)70.29% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.41% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (0.042000000000002 0.04)64.16% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.67%
    Watford 31.99%
    Draw 25.33%
Blackburn RoversDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Watford

Blackburn Rovers
47.8%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
30.4%
23
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 4
Watford
0-1
Blackburn

Hoedt (24'), Andrews (69'), Louza (69')
Hedges (72')
Hyam (63'), Rankin-Costello (77')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Watford
1-1
Blackburn
Hoedt (74')
Dack (24')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Blackburn
2-0
Watford
Hedges (38'), Hyam (82')
Feb 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Blackburn
2-3
Watford
Elliott (43'), Brereton (82')
Rothwell (34')
Pedro (25'), Sarr (38'), Sema (60')
Oct 21, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
3-1
Blackburn
Pedro (13'), Cleverley (17'), Lenihan (49' og.)
Kabasele (22'), Ngakia (75'), Pedro (84')
Brereton (28')