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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Watford |
| 42.36% ( | 27.81% ( | 29.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% ( | 79.17% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( | 27.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% ( | 62.79% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% ( | 35.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% ( | 72.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 29.83% |