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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Watford logo

Preston
1 - 5
Watford

Keane (27')
Millar (41'), Whiteman (45+1'), Osmajic (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Issouf Bayo (42', 71'), Martins (46'), Kayembe (53'), Kone (77')
Lewis (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-3 Preston
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-2 Ipswich
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawWatford
42.36% (0.167 0.17)27.81% (0.012 0.01)29.83% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 46.99% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)58.62% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)79.17% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.34% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (0.057000000000002 0.06)62.79% (-0.058 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.188 -0.19)35.32% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.196 -0.2)72.08% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 42.36%
    Watford 29.83%
    Draw 27.8%
Preston North EndDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 29.83%

How you voted: Preston vs Watford

Preston North End
50.0%
Draw
27.8%
Watford
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Watford
0-0
Preston
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Preston
0-0
Watford
Brady (79'), Cunningham (90+3')
Manaj (37'), Cathcart (83')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Preston
0-1
Watford
Pedro (51' pen.)
Cleverley (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Watford
4-1
Preston
Quina (9'), Deeney (52' pen.), Chalobah (58'), Pedro (74')
Garner (23')
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Preston
1-0
Watford
Vermijl (8')
Woods (34'), Reid (64')

Vydra (39'), Britos (42')
Britos (75')