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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
54.9% (![]() | 23.6% (![]() | 21.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.64% (![]() | 48.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.5% (![]() | 70.5% (![]() |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.51% (![]() | 17.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.02% (![]() | 47.97% (![]() |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.11% (![]() | 36.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.33% (![]() | 73.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.24% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.43% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Hull City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Luton TownLuton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea CitySwansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
> Championship Full Table |