Championship

Championship | Gameweek 15

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 3
Middlesbrough

Mumba (34'), Azaz (38'), Whittaker (77')
Miller (70'), Cundle (72')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Coburn (23', 60'), Greenwood (64')
Crooks (30'), Coburn (62'), van den Berg (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Plymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Exeter 2-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Middlesbrough
22.17% ( 0.02)	20.89% ( -0.09)	56.93% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 62.32% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.72% (

0.43)

35.27% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.7% (

0.48)

57.29% (

-0.49)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

0.26)

28.9% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

0.32)

64.77% (

-0.33)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.65% (

0.16)

12.34% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.83% (

0.33)

38.16% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 22.17%

Middlesbrough 56.93%

Draw 20.89%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.24% Total : 22.17%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.89%	1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.93%