Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.