Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Luke Cundle 18' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 55' yellowcard
  • Kaine Kesler 79' yellowcard
  • goal Jerry Yates 56'
  • goal Oliver Cooper 68'
  • goal Josh Key 90'

Plymouth Argyle vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Plymouth 0 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Morgan Whittaker

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Swansea 2 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Liam Cullen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 30.73% (+0.10)
Draw 23.25% (+0.07)
Swansea City 46.01% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.2% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.92% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 39.07% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 38.6% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 61.39% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 21.03% (-0.21)
Under 4.5 78.96% (+0.21)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5 75.24% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 24.75% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 40.68% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 59.32% (+0.09)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 82.66% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 17.33% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 52.29% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 47.7% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 30.73%
Draw 23.24%
Swansea City 46.01%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.33% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.99% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.18% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.49% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.24%
Swansea City
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.52% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.38% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 46.01%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 12, 2022 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ryan Hardie 89' goal
  • goal Joel Piroe 6'
EFL Cup
Aug 24, 2021 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea City FC Youth Academy Training Centre
  • Daniel Williams 29' goal
  • Ryan Manning 39' yellowcard
  • Ryan Bennett 51' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 79' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 86' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 90' goal
  • goal Rhys Shirley 63'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 20, 2021 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ryan Hardie 47' goal
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 23'
  • goal Kyle Naughton 32'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2014 5.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Rory Donnelly 9'
  • goal Jordi Amat 69'
  • goal Gylfi Sigurdsson 72'
  • goal Gylfi Sigurdsson 90'
Championship
Feb 16, 2010 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Damien Johnson 87' goal
  • goal Darren Pratley 46'
  • yellowcard Garry Monk 84'
Championship
Dec 8, 2009 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Trundle 52' goal
  • Leon Britton 65' yellowcard
  • Gorka Pintado 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Gray 31'
  • yellowcard Shane Lowry 47'
  • yellowcard Alan Judge 56'
  • yellowcard Carl Fletcher 72'
  • redcard Shane Lowry 90'