Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.