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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Home Park
Southampton logo

Plymouth
1 - 2
Southampton

Hardie (51')
Scarr (10'), Hardie (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tella (49'), Adams (90+4')
Armstrong (30'), Charles (42'), Manning (74'), Stephens (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSouthampton
49.17% (-2.399 -2.4)23.64% (1.318 1.32)27.19% (1.084 1.08)
Both teams to score 58.29% (-3.655 -3.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87% (-5.268 -5.27)43.13% (5.271 5.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.47% (-5.415 -5.42)65.53% (5.419 5.42)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-2.797 -2.8)17.68% (2.802 2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.69% (-5.084 -5.08)48.31% (5.089 5.09)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-1.967 -1.97)29.2% (1.97 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-2.488 -2.49)65.14% (2.492 2.49)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 49.17%
    Southampton 27.19%
    Draw 23.64%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.95% (1.227 1.23)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.397 0.4)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.565 -0.57)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.56 -0.56)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.506 -0.51)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.285 -0.29)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.413 -0.41)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.17%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.97 0.97)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-0 @ 5.16% (1.111 1.11)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.322 -0.32)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.247 0.25)
0-1 @ 6.35% (1.084 1.08)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.483 0.48)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 27.19%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Southampton

Plymouth Argyle
33.3%
Draw
7.7%
Southampton
59.0%
39
Head to Head
May 2, 2011 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Southampton
Bolasie (90')
Walton (52')
Dickson (49'), Lambert (45', 59')
Jaidi (45')
Dec 26, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Southampton
Summerfield (52' pen.), Fallon (38')
MacLean (79')

Davis (51'), Lancashire (51'), Skacel (51')
Nov 25, 2008 3pm
Feb 19, 2008 3pm
Southampton
0-2
Plymouth
Paterson (33'), Halmosi (31')
Connolly (45')
rhs 2.0


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