Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.