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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Swansea


Gibbs (81')
McCallum (42')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Grimes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Last Game: Swansea 4-2 Preston
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Swansea City

 Both teams know that victory is realistically the only option on Saturday, and that should lead to a thrilling spectacle. While Norwich may hold the lead at some point, Swansea are playing with a renewed belief that could result in them earning a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
41.47% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 26.16%32.37% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)51.48% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72% (-0.012 -0.01)73.28% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)59.02% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)29.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)65.91% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.47%
    Swansea City 32.37%
    Draw 26.16%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.37%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
48.5%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
39.4%
33
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Buendia (54')
Buendia (80')

Carter-Vickers (92')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
gameweek 18
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
> Match Report
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
> Championship Full Table


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