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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Preston North End logo

Swansea
4 - 2
Preston

Piroe (2', 90+4'), Allen (35'), Darling (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Cannon (48'), Parrott (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 23.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
51.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)23.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)52.57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)74.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)20.35% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.74% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)37.57% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.66%
    Preston North End 23.25%
    Draw 25.08%
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.25%

How you voted: Swansea vs Preston

Swansea City
70.0%
Draw
11.4%
Preston North End
18.6%
70
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Preston
Manning (51')
Manning (13'), Latibeaudiere (87'), Smith (88')

Cunningham (65'), Evans (87'), Bauer (90+1')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Preston
3-1
Swansea
Van den Berg (21'), Riis Jakobsen (45+1'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (59'), Johnson (61'), Whiteman (71'), Sinclair (85')
Piroe (19')
Benda (51')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Swansea
0-1
Preston

Guehi (45'), Lowe (64')
Grimes (90+1' og.)