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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 51.66% ( | 25.09% ( | 23.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( | 52.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( | 74.22% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( | 20.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( | 52.74% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( | 37.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% ( | 74.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 4-1 @ 2% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.66% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.25% |