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Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
2 - 3
Swansea

Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Rinomhota (58'), Kipre (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Manning (45+1'), Ntcham (50'), Fulton (55'), Cooper (57'), Piroe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

With Swansea having finally got a win under their belts last time out, it remains to be seen how they will fare in their next fixture. Although Cardiff are the favourites for this contest, we feel that Martin's men may do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
33.93% (-0.427 -0.43) 26.05% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.02% (0.431 0.43)
Both teams to score 53.75% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (-0.073 -0.07)50.65% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.45% (-0.064 -0.06)72.55% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (-0.3 -0.3)28.41% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (-0.382 -0.38)64.16% (0.386 0.39)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (0.196 0.2)24.92% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (0.268 0.27)59.55% (-0.263 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 33.93%
    Swansea City 40.02%
    Draw 26.05%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.93%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
63.2%
Draw
26.3%
Swansea City
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Cardiff
0-4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')
Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')
Oct 17, 2021 12pm
Swansea
3-0
Cardiff
Paterson (29'), Piroe (60'), Bidwell (74')
Manning (63')

Bacuna (26'), Vaulks (90+1')
Mar 20, 2021 5.30pm
Swansea
0-1
Cardiff
Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')
Dec 12, 2020 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Swansea

Morrison (18'), Moore (35'), Ralls (46')
Ralls (67')
Lowe (6', 72')
Bennett (14'), Guehi (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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