/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
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Jaden Philogene-Bidace
35'
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Sory Kaba
83'
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Joel Piroe
3'
-
Liam Cullen
33'
-
Ben Cabango
90'+9'
Cardiff City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result
Cardiff City
33.93%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
26.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Swansea City
40.02%
▲
(+0.44)
Both Teams to Score:
53.75%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.35%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
50.65%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
27.45%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
72.55%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
12.94%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
87.06%
▲
(+0.05)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5
71.59%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
28.41%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
35.83%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 1.5
64.16%
▲
(+0.39)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
75.08%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
24.92%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
40.45%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
59.55%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Cardiff City
33.93%
Draw
26.05%
Swansea City
40.02%
Cardiff City
1-0
@
8.91%
▼
(-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.93%
2-1 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.93%
Draw
1-1
@
12.38%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
Swansea City
0-1
@
9.84%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.02%
1-2 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.02%
