Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
2 - 3
Swansea

Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Swansea City
33.93% ( -0.43)	26.05% ( 0)	40.02% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 53.75% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.35% (

-0.07)

50.65% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.45% (

-0.06)

72.55% (

0.07)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

-0.3)

28.41% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

-0.38)

64.16% (

0.39)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.08% (

0.2)

24.92% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.45% (

0.27)

59.55% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 33.93%

Swansea City 40.02%

Draw 26.05%

Cardiff City	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.93%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.02%