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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 0
Swansea

Morris (39')
Clark (49'), Woodrow (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cundle (28'), Cooper (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Swansea City

Luton's previous high level has dropped off recently, leaving Edwards desperately in search of more consistency. While we do not expect the Hatters to have things all their own way on Saturday, they should have enough in the tank to edge this encounter by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
43.11% (0.318 0.32) 25.94% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 30.95% (-0.27 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.11 0.11)51.05% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.096 0.1)72.91% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.20299999999999 0.2)23.53% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42% (0.295 0.3)57.58% (-0.297 -0.3)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.133 -0.13)30.58% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.156 -0.16)66.81% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.1%
    Swansea City 30.95%
    Draw 25.93%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43.1%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.05% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
81.5%
Draw
11.1%
Swansea City
7.4%
27
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-0
Luton
Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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