Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 0
Swansea

Morris (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Rotherham
Monday, February 27 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Swansea City
43.11% ( 0.32)	25.94% ( -0.05)	30.95% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.95% (

0.11)

51.05% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09% (

0.1)

72.91% (

-0.1)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

0.2)

23.53% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42% (

0.3)

57.58% (

-0.3)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42% (

-0.13)

30.58% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19% (

-0.16)

66.81% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 43.1%

Swansea City 30.95%

Draw 25.93%

Luton Town	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.1%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.95%