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Carlton Morris
39'
Luton Town vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Luton Town Goals
Swansea City Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 43.1%
0-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
1-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.95%
Matty Pearson
69'