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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
42.27% (![]() | 27.99% (![]() | 29.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.43% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.69% (![]() | 59.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.29% (![]() | 79.71% (![]() |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.28% (![]() | 27.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% (![]() | 63.28% (![]() |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.23% (![]() | 35.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.45% (![]() | 72.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.72% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 13.07% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 29.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 49 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 48 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 41 |
4 | Southampton | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 38 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Sunderland | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Hull City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
9 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 29 |
10 | Watford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 27 |
14 | Bristol City | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 22 |
19 | Millwall | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 13 |
24 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 13 |
> Championship Full Table |