MX23RW : Monday, December 11 12:18:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Millwall logo
Luton
2 - 2
Millwall
Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

With both clubs going through a poor run of form, the stakes are high in this contest as they bid to stay in touch with the top six. Taking that into consideration, we feel that a low-scoring draw is most likely, one which will be deemed acceptable by both sets of supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
42.27% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02) 27.99% (-0.032 -0.03) 29.73% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.43% (0.111 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.69% (0.127 0.13)59.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1)79.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.046000000000006 0.05)27.71% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.060000000000002 0.06)63.28% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (0.11 0.11)35.77% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.45% (0.112 0.11)72.54% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.27%
    Millwall 29.73%
    Draw 27.98%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 42.27%
1-1 @ 13.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.91% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
37.9%
Draw
30.5%
Millwall
31.6%
95
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Luton
2-2
Millwall
Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester20161338122649
2Ipswich TownIpswich20153243251848
3Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336201641
4Southampton2011543228438
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2095631211032
6Sunderland209383123830
7Cardiff CityCardiff209382823530
8Hull City208662926330
9Preston North EndPreston208572432-829
10Watford207762924528
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn2091103233-128
12Middlesbrough208393131027
13Norwich CityNorwich208393436-227
14Bristol City207582122-126
15Coventry CityCoventry206772623325
16Swansea CitySwansea206682828024
17Birmingham CityBirmingham206592329-623
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2064103133-222
19Millwall205692127-621
20Stoke CityStoke2063111928-921
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield204971932-1321
22Queens Park RangersQPR2054111930-1119
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2034131331-1813
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham2027111839-2113

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!