FA Cup
Feb 7, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Harry Clifton 9' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 28' goal
  • Danny Amos 45'+5' goal

Grimsby Town vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Luton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-0 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result

Grimsby Town 27.1% (+1.52)
Draw 27.42% (+0.79)
Luton Town 45.48% (-2.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.52% (-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.54% (-1.92)
Under 2.5 58.46% (+1.92)
Over 3.5 20.95% (-1.53)
Under 3.5 79.05% (+1.53)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 62.58% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 37.42% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 25.8% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 74.2% (-0.24)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.34% (-1.97)
Under 0.5 25.66% (+1.96)
Over 1.5 39.44% (-2.75)
Under 1.5 60.56% (+2.75)

Score analysis

Grimsby Town 27.1%
Draw 27.42%
Luton Town 45.48%
Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.73)
2-1 @ 6.31% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 4.64% (+0.39)
3-1 @ 2.07% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.52% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (+0.30)
0-0 @ 9.6% (+0.68)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.42%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 13.06% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 8.88% (-0.37)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.31)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.42)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.38)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.18)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.23)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.22)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 45.48%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Elijah Adebayo 49' goal
  • Jordan Clark 66' goal
  • goal Gavan Holohan 43'
  • goal Harry Clifton 67'
League Two
Jan 27, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Davies 41' yellowcard
  • Siriki Dembele 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Cook 21'
  • redcard Jordan Cook 34'
  • goal James Collins 49'
League Two
Dec 23, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Andrew Shinnie 38' yellowcard
  • Luke Berry 40' goal
  • James Collins 61' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Clarke 19'
  • yellowcard James McKeown 57'
League Two
Feb 4, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chris Clements 56' goal
  • Danny Collins 64' yellowcard
  • Brandon Comley 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaac Vassell 36'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 63'
  • yellowcard Jack Senior 76'
  • goal Isaac Vassell 77'
League Two
Sep 10, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alan Sheehan 54' yellowcard
  • Glen Rea 59' goal
  • Dan Potts 62' yellowcard
  • Jordan Cook 75' yellowcard
  • goal Omar Bogle 29'
  • yellowcard Dominic Vose 78'
  • goal Omar Bogle 82'
  • yellowcard Brandon Comley 88'
  • yellowcard Kayden Jackson 94'
  • yellowcard James Keown 94'
League Two
Mar 17, 2009 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mark Bower 42' yellowcard
  • Mark Bower 45' goal
  • Asa Hall 89' goal
  • Kevin Nicholls 90' yellowcard
  • Tom Craddock 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Bennett 43'
  • yellowcard Jean-Louis Akpa Akpro 67'
  • yellowcard Nick Hegarty 69'
  • yellowcard Peter Bore 82'
  • yellowcard Wayne Henderson 90'