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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Salford City

Grimsby Town
1 - 4
Salford City

Khan (21')
Glennon (22')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Smith (1', 34', 40'), Galbraith (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Salford City

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances in what will be a tight affair. This will be reflected in the scoreline, as Grimsby and Salford will prove inseparable and will come out of the match with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
35.19% (0.19 0.19) 26.96% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 37.85% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 51% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)54.24% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (-0.041 -0.04)75.64% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (0.094999999999999 0.09)29.37% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.117 0.12)65.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.21% (-0.14 -0.14)27.78% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (-0.181 -0.18)63.37% (0.183 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 35.19%
    Salford City 37.85%
    Draw 26.95%
Grimsby TownDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.85%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Salford City

Grimsby Town
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Salford City
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Grimsby Town
Touray (88')
Lowe (26'), Touray (73')
Clifton (2')
Clifton (19'), Payne (50'), Matete (73')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-4
Salford City

Tilley (48')
Ohman (90+2')
Henderson (32' pen., 63', 76'), Towell (90+3' pen.)
Hunter (28'), Towell (56'), Touray (89')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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