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FA Cup

Cambridge United
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Grimsby Town

Cambridge
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Smith (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khan (61', 90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Cambridge United and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Grimsby Town

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
27.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)25.33% (0.004999999999999 0)46.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.07% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)72.05% (0.012 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)54.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 27.79%
    Grimsby Town 46.87%
    Draw 25.33%
Cambridge UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.79%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 46.87%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Grimsby Town

Cambridge United
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Grimsby Town
18.2%
11
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
3-0
Grimsby Town
O'Neil (25'), Hoolahan (57'), Mullin (80')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-2
Cambridge
Hewitt (72')
May (4'), Mullin (36')
Hannant (90+1')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
P-P
Cambridge
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Cambridge
0-0
Grimsby Town

Whitehouse (24')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-2
Cambridge
Taft (42'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Deegan (61'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')
rhs 2.0


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