Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.