Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 57%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 22.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.