Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 57%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 22.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
57% ( 2.51)	20.9% ( -1.03)	22.1% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 62.2% (

1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.61% (

3.14)

35.39% (

-3.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.58% (

3.4)

57.42% (

-3.4)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.64% (

1.79)

12.36% (

-1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.8% (

3.63)

38.2% (

-3.63)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.97% (

0.52)

29.03% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

0.64)

64.93% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 57%

Manchester City Under-21s 22.1%

Draw 20.9%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.67) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.29) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.26) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.2) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.17) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.5% Total : 57%	1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.59) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.9%	1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.21% Total : 22.1%