Derby County vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.