EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
0 - 3
Nott'm Forest

FT(HT: 0-2)

Yates (18'), Surridge (35', 77')
Surridge (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Grimsby Town and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 Sutton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sutton United	5	-1	5
16	Grimsby Town	4	-1	5
17	Tranmere Rovers	5	0	4

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Everton 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Crystal Palace	3	0	4
10	Nottingham Forest	3	-1	4
11	Southampton	3	-2	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Nottingham Forest
31.04% ( 0)	25.68% ( 0)	43.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.98% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.08% (

-0.02)

49.92% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1% (

-0.02)

71.91% (

0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.06% (

-0.01)

29.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.95% (

-0.01)

66.05% (

0.01)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.04% (

-0.01)

22.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.26% (

-0.02)

56.74% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 31.04%

Nottingham Forest 43.28%

Draw 25.67%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.25% Total : 31.04%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.28%