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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Schar (58'), Wilson (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Given the standard of players that have been signed by Forest, it would be naive to rule out the visitors from causing a surprise in the North East. However, despite Forest likely to have a spring in their step, Newcastle's greater quality and experience should shine through come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
45.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 28.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.74% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)61.41% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.7% (-0.038 -0.04)81.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)27.26% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)62.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)76.06% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.01%
    Nottingham Forest 26.74%
    Draw 28.23%
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest

Newcastle United
57.9%
Draw
17.5%
Nottingham Forest
24.6%
57
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
Newcastle
3-1
Nott'm Forest
Ritchie (4'), Gayle (63', 81')
Clark (12'), Colback (53'), Yedlin (65')
Dumitru (29')
Lam (26'), Mills (59'), Pereira (61')
Mills (60')
Dec 2, 2016 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-1
Newcastle
Bendtner (52'), Lascelles (86' og.)
Mancienne (44'), Lansbury (72')
Ritchie (45')
Darlow (45'), Gouffran (53'), Yedlin (93')
Shelvey (33'), Dummett (45')
Mar 29, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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