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Fabian Schar
58'
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Callum Wilson
78'
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Joe Worrall
15'
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Neco Williams
23'
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Lewis O'Brien
56'
Newcastle United vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Newcastle United Goals
Nottingham Forest Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 45.01%
0-0 @ 10.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.23%
1-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 26.74%
Head to Head
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Daryl Murphy
2'
-
Gil Dias
68'
-
Michael Hefele
76'
-
Jack Robinson
83'
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Matty Cash
90'
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Gil Dias
90'
-
Joselu
76'
-
Sean Longstaff
80'
-
Salomon Rondon
90'
-
Ayoze Perez
90'
-
Aleksandar Mitrovic
3'
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Rolando Aarons
45'
-
Grant Hanley
85'
-
Jason Cummings
29'
-
Jason Cummings
31'
-
Joe Worrall
83'
-
Tyler Walker
97'
-
Michael Mancienne
111'
-
Matt Ritchie
4'
-
Ciaran Clark
12'
-
Jack Colback
53'
-
Dwight Gayle
63'
-
DeAndre Yedlin
65'
-
Dwight Gayle
81'
-
Thomas Lam
26'
-
Nicolao Dumitru
29'
-
Matthew Mills
59'
-
Matthew Mills
60'
-
Hildeberto Pereira
61'
-
Michael Mancienne
44'
-
Nicklas Bendtner
52'
-
Henri Lansbury
72'
-
Jamaal Lascelles
86'
-
Jonjo Shelvey
33'
-
Matt Ritchie
45'
-
Karl Darlow
45'
-
Paul Dummett
45'
-
Yoan Gouffran
53'
-
DeAndre Yedlin
93'
-
Shola Ameobi
71'
-
Enrique
90'
-
Enrique
90'
-
Wes Morgan
60'
-
Kelvin Wilson
78'
-
Dexter Blackstock
45'
-
Joe Garner
89'
-
Alan Smith
3'
-
Zurab Khizanishvili
67'
-
Ryan Taylor
71'