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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Crystal Palace

After their FA Cup disappointment, Palace will be especially eager to end what has been an encouraging season on a high. However, Newcastle are a different beast at St James' Park, and we are expecting the Magpies to outlast the Eagles with victory by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
41.94%27.51%30.55%
Both teams to score 48.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69%57.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91%34.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22%70.78%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.93%
    Crystal Palace 30.55%
    Draw 27.51%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.55%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
67.3%
Draw
16.4%
Crystal Palace
16.4%
226
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal33235577265174
2Liverpool33228375324374
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
12Fulham34126165054-442
13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716


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