Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

Crystal Palace

Last Six:

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48
13	Brentford	38	-8	46

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
41.94%	27.51%	30.55%

Both teams to score 48.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69%

57.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85%

78.15%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04%

26.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7%

62.3%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.91%

34.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.22%

70.78%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 41.93%

Crystal Palace 30.55%

Draw 27.51%

Newcastle United	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.55%