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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Almiron (32')
Almiron (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Crystal Palace

After their FA Cup disappointment, Palace will be especially eager to end what has been an encouraging season on a high. However, Newcastle are a different beast at St James' Park, and we are expecting the Magpies to outlast the Eagles with victory by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
41.94%27.51%30.55%
Both teams to score 48.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69%57.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.3%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91%34.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22%70.78%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.93%
    Crystal Palace 30.55%
    Draw 27.51%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.55%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
67.3%
Draw
16.4%
Crystal Palace
16.4%
226
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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