Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 31

Apr 3, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
5 - 1
Newcastle

Davies (43'), Doherty (48'), Heung-min (54'), Emerson (63'), Bergwijn (83')
Kane (26'), Bentancur (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Schar (39')
Saint-Maximin (45+3'), Joelinton (45+3'), Burn (46')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Chelsea	38	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur	38	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	13	69

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers	38	-5	51
11	Newcastle United	38	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	4	48

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 12.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Newcastle United
68.3%	19.06%	12.64%

Both teams to score 48.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92%

44.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.54%

66.46%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.14%

11.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.87%

37.13%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.61%

45.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.76%

81.24%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 68.3%

Newcastle United 12.64%

Draw 19.06%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.37% Total : 68.3%	1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.06%	0-1 @ 4.25% 1-2 @ 3.58% 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.64%