Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
5 | Arsenal | 38 | 13 | 69 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
11 | Newcastle United | 38 | -18 | 49 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 4 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
Result | ||
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Newcastle United |
68.3% | 19.06% | 12.64% |
Both teams to score 48.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.92% | 44.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.54% | 66.46% |
Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.14% | 11.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.87% | 37.13% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.61% | 45.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.76% | 81.24% |
Score Analysis |
Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 6.87% 4-0 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.37% Total : 68.3% | 1-1 @ 9.06% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.06% | 0-1 @ 4.25% 1-2 @ 3.58% 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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