Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.