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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St James' Park
Everton logo

Newcastle
3 - 1
Everton

Holgate (37' og.), Fraser (56'), Trippier (80')
Shelvey (33'), Schar (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lascelles (36' og.)
Holgate (14'), Gomes (47'), Allan (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
37.41%28.09%34.5%
Both teams to score 47.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.37%58.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.82%79.18%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82%30.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67%66.33%
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98%32.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51%68.49%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 37.4%
    Everton 34.5%
    Draw 28.08%
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
1-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 7.9%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.4%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.66%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 7.51%
0-2 @ 6.27%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.5%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Everton

Newcastle United
28.3%
Draw
20.4%
Everton
51.2%
367