Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Everton had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
| 37.41% | 28.09% | 34.5% |
| Both teams to score 47.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.37% | 58.63% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% | 79.18% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% | 30.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% | 66.33% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% | 32.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% | 68.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.4% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 11% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 6.27% 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.5% |