Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.