Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Burnley

Wilson (40')
Manquillo (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Collins (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Burnley
37%	29.68%	33.32%

Both teams to score 42.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.85%

64.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.71%

83.29%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75%

33.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.14%

69.86%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.26%

35.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.49%

72.51%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 37%

Burnley 33.32%

Draw 29.67%

Newcastle United	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.54% Total : 37%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.88% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.67%	0-1 @ 12.22% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 6.29% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.32%