Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 19, 2021 at 2pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
0 - 4
Man City

Hayden (21')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dias (5'), Cancelo (27'), Mahrez (63'), Sterling (86')
Rodri (25'), Silva (30')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola pictured on December 19, 2021

Pep Guardiola criticises Manchester City performance despite 4-0 win at Newcastle United

Pep Guardiola criticises Manchester City's performance against Newcastle United on Sunday, despite securing a record-breaking 4-0 win at St James' Park.

Dec 19, 18:06

Manchester City's Ruben Dias celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on December 19, 2021

Manchester City break all-time top-flight win record after victory at Newcastle United

Manchester City set a new English top-flight record for the most wins in a single calendar year after beating Newcastle United 4-0 at St James' Park on Sunday.

Dec 19, 16:18

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Manchester City
11.88%	17.09%	71.03%

Both teams to score 52.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.15%

36.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.98%

59.02%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.07%

41.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.62%

78.38%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.8%

9.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.86%

31.14%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 11.88%

Manchester City 71.03%

Draw 17.09%

Newcastle United	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 3.48% 1-0 @ 3.35% 2-0 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.2% 3-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.39% Total : 11.88%	1-1 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.15% 0-0 @ 3.86% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.09%	0-2 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 9.2% 0-3 @ 8.74% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 5.21% 1-4 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 3.3% 0-5 @ 2.49% 1-5 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.97% 0-6 @ 0.99% 2-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.38% Total : 71.03%