Aston Villa vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 12.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.