Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 8

Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 0
Burnley

Silva (12'), De Bruyne (70')
Laporte (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 6.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Burnley
81.36%	12.11%	6.53%

Both teams to score 48.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.7%

30.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.44%

51.56%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.38%

5.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.2%

21.79%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.32%

48.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.28%

83.72%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 81.35%

Burnley 6.53%

Draw 12.11%

Manchester City	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 11.34% 3-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 8.17% 1-0 @ 7.88% 4-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 7.84% 4-1 @ 5.64% 5-0 @ 4.52% 5-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.82% 6-0 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 2.03% 6-1 @ 1.56% 5-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 4.25% Total : 81.35%	1-1 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 2.94% 0-0 @ 2.73% Other @ 0.77% Total : 12.11%	1-2 @ 2.04% 0-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.52% Total : 6.53%