Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Leeds United |
| 29.33% | 26.05% | 44.61% |
| Both teams to score 51.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% | 73.91% |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% | 32.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.17% | 68.83% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% | 23.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% | 57.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.33% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 4.38% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.61% |