Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 1
Arsenal

Barnes (19'), Westwood (29')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Odegaard (30')
Tavares (90+2')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta gives instructions to his players on September 11, 2021

Mikel Arteta impressed with Arsenal's battling qualities in win at Burnley

The Gunners held on after Martin Odegaard's first-half free-kick.

Sep 18, 18:02

Mikel Arteta admits Arsenal "should have scored more" against Burnley

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta addresses his side's lack of ruthlessness in Saturday's Premier League win over Burnley, claiming that his side "should have scored more".

Sep 18, 17:01

Arsenal's Martin Odegaard celebrates scoring their first goal against Burnley in the Premier League on September 18, 2021

Arsenal's Martin Odegaard reacts to sublime free kick in Burnley win

Martin Odegaard hails his game-winning free kick against Burnley as "a big moment" as Arsenal make it back-to-back wins in the Premier League.

Sep 18, 16:51

Mikel Arteta: 'Martin Odegaard is becoming a real leader for Arsenal'

Mikel Arteta believes that Martin Odegaard is becoming a "real leader" for Arsenal after his winning goal against Burnley.

Sep 18, 16:42

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Arsenal
24.28%	27%	48.72%

Both teams to score 45.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.28%

58.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.75%

79.25%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.94%

40.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3%

76.7%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79%

24.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45%

58.55%

Score Analysis

Burnley 24.28%

Arsenal 48.72%

Draw 27%

Burnley	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 5.76% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.28%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 13.75% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.72%