Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 3
Liverpool

FT(HT: 0-1)

Firmino (43'), Phillips (52'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (88')

Reaction

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp celebrates after the match on May 8, 2021

Jurgen Klopp delighted with "impressive comeback"

The Reds won 3-0 at Burnley to edge ahead of Leicester in the Premier League table on goal difference.

May 19, 22:38

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Liverpool
14.46%	20.16%	65.38%

Both teams to score 49.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.17%

44.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81%

67.19%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.92%

43.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.64%

79.36%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1%

12.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.68%

39.32%

Score Analysis

Burnley 14.46%

Liverpool 65.37%

Draw 20.16%

Burnley	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 4.68% 2-1 @ 4.04% 2-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.46%	1-1 @ 9.58% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.16%	0-2 @ 11.65% 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 6.7% 0-4 @ 4.07% 1-4 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-5 @ 1.67% 2-4 @ 1.44% 1-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.03% Total : 65.37%