Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 0
Brighton

Pepe (49', 60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta, May 9 2021

Mikel Arteta: 'We need to improve next season'

The Gunners finished the season in eighth place.

May 23, 18:05

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
47.98%	25.57%	26.45%

Both teams to score 51.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.07%

51.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33%

73.67%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35%

21.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22%

54.78%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58%

34.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.87%

71.13%

Score Analysis

Arsenal 47.98%

Brighton & Hove Albion 26.45%

Draw 25.57%

Arsenal	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.98%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 1% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 7.95% 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.45%