MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 08:46:08| >> :600:1524743:1524743:
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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Rochdale
Burnley
4 - 1
Rochdale
Rodriguez (50', 60', 62', 77')
Tarkowski (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Beesley (47')
O'Keeffe (63'), O'Connell (64')
The Match
Match Report
After Jake Beesley had given Rochdale a shock 1-0 lead, Jay Rodriguez ran riot at Turf Moor.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Burnley and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawRochdale
43.2%26.11%30.7%
Both teams to score 52.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17%51.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41%73.59%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16%23.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99%58.02%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85%31.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52%67.48%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 43.19%
    Rochdale 30.7%
    Draw 26.1%
BurnleyDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.63%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 43.19%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 5.05%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.7%

How you voted: Burnley vs Rochdale

Burnley
75.0%
Draw
10.0%
Rochdale
15.0%
100
rhs 2.0
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
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9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
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14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
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19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014

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