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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
39.81% | 27.2% | 32.99% |
Both teams to score 49.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.51% | 55.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.32% | 76.67% |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% | 27.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% | 62.7% |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.57% | 31.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.19% | 67.8% |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |