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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 39.81% | 27.2% | 32.99% |
| Both teams to score 49.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% | 55.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% | 76.67% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% | 31.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% | 67.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2% Total : 39.8% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.99% |