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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-0 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 27.29% | 28.29% | 44.42% |
| Both teams to score 44.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.68% | 61.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.77% | 81.23% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% | 38.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.42% | 75.57% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% | 27.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% | 63.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 6.17% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.29% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 13.79% 0-2 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-3 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.76% Total : 44.41% |