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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 37.19% | 28.9% | 33.9% |
| Both teams to score 45.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.44% | 61.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.59% | 81.41% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% | 31.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% | 68.22% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% | 33.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% | 70.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.9% | 0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.89% |