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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 31.06% | 29.52% | 39.42% |
| Both teams to score 42.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.01% | 63.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.82% | 83.17% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% | 37.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% | 74.09% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% | 31.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.93% | 68.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.77% Total : 31.06% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.81% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 13.58% 0-2 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-3 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.42% |