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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 37.39% | 28.7% | 33.91% |
| Both teams to score 45.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.13% | 60.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.11% | 80.89% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.69% | 31.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.33% | 67.67% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% | 33.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.78% | 70.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 7.74% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.38% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.91% |