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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 59.13% | 22.42% | 18.45% |
| Both teams to score 50.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.54% | 47.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% | 69.67% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% | 15.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.25% | 44.75% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% | 76.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 6.1% 4-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.25% Total : 59.12% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.45% |