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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 69.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Northampton Town |
69.24% | 18.64% | 12.12% |
Both teams to score 47.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.51% | 43.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.11% | 65.89% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.57% | 11.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.77% | 36.23% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.14% | 45.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.39% | 81.62% |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Northampton Town |
2-0 @ 12.33% 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 6.95% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.55% Total : 69.24% | 1-1 @ 8.87% 0-0 @ 5.24% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.64% | 0-1 @ 4.09% 1-2 @ 3.46% 0-2 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |