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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 69.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 12.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 69.24% | 18.64% | 12.12% |
| Both teams to score 47.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.51% | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.11% | 65.89% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.57% | 11.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.77% | 36.23% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.14% | 45.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.39% | 81.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 2-0 @ 12.33% 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 9.61% 3-0 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 6.95% 4-0 @ 4.83% 4-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.55% Total : 69.24% | 1-1 @ 8.87% 0-0 @ 5.24% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.64% | 0-1 @ 4.09% 1-2 @ 3.46% 0-2 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.01% Total : 12.13% |