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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 31.18% | 29.46% | 39.35% |
| Both teams to score 43.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.2% | 63.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.96% | 83.04% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.88% | 37.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.1% | 73.9% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% | 68.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.8% Total : 31.17% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.45% | 0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-3 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.35% |