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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
58.03% | 22.31% | 19.66% |
Both teams to score 53.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.78% | 45.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.44% | 67.56% |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% | 15.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56% | 44.01% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.04% | 36.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% | 73.75% |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 6.21% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 1.45% 5-0 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.67% Total : 19.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 75 | 39 | 36 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 86 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 81 | 48 | 33 | 83 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 24 | 8 | 11 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 80 |
5 | Barnsley | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 79 | 60 | 19 | 75 |
6 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 76 | 54 | 22 | 73 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 71 |
8 | Blackpool | 44 | 20 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 70 |
9 | Stevenage | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 67 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 62 |
11 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 44 | 17 | 8 | 19 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 59 |
12 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 58 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 16 | 10 | 18 | 43 | 58 | -15 | 58 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 57 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 56 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 63 | 63 | 0 | 52 |
17 | Reading | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 63 | 65 | -2 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 47 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 46 |
20 | Burton Albion | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 36 | 62 | -26 | 43 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 41 |
22 | Port Vale | 44 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 41 | 72 | -31 | 40 |
23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 45 | 72 | -27 | 37 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |