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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 47.09% | 24.98% | 27.93% |
| Both teams to score 54.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% | 48.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% | 70.66% |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% | 31.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% | 67.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.93% |