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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 36.21% | 27.52% | 36.27% |
| Both teams to score 49.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.59% | 56.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% | 77.42% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% | 29.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.1% | 65.9% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% | 29.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% | 65.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.52% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.27% |