Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 36.27%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
