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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 45.85% | 27.13% | 27.02% |
| Both teams to score 47.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.55% | 57.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% | 78.26% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% | 25.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% | 59.68% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% | 36.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% | 73.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% 2-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 9.2% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.58% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.79% Total : 27.02% |